Online Organizing and Turnout
Jim Moore suggests that Dean’s turnout in IA was 15,000 below their hard count of 40,000 caucusers. via CalPundit and CNN, the entrance polls suggest Dean lost seniors AND first time caucus-goers to Kerry.
I was expecting to see the seniors go away, but do the low results from first-timers suggest that Dean’s online organizing was not as successful as we thought in pulling those new voters? I hope not. Maybe the IA Caucuses are just weird… We will see about NH.